Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.002658 0.002842 0.003040 0.003270 0.003532 0.003824 0.004177
2024-10-20 0.002300 0.002533 0.002798 0.003125 0.003526 0.004008 0.004649
2024-10-27 0.002114 0.002382 0.002699 0.003111 0.003647 0.004343 0.005357
2024-11-03 0.001888 0.002155 0.002479 0.002912 0.003497 0.004294 0.005534
2024-11-10 0.001805 0.002091 0.002449 0.002945 0.003648 0.004665 0.006399
2024-11-17 0.001746 0.002050 0.002441 0.003002 0.003832 0.005114 0.007523
2024-11-24 0.001667 0.001976 0.002381 0.002976 0.003889 0.005370 0.008398
2024-12-01 0.001628 0.001952 0.002384 0.003039 0.004085 0.005895 0.010037
2024-12-08 0.001570 0.001897 0.002340 0.003026 0.004157 0.006212 0.011384
2024-12-15 0.001506 0.001830 0.002274 0.002972 0.004151 0.006378 0.012450
2024-12-22 0.001483 0.001818 0.002285 0.003037 0.004357 0.007017 0.015415
2024-12-29 0.001458 0.001801 0.002288 0.003089 0.004546 0.007679 0.019315
2025-01-05 0.001408 0.001749 0.002238 0.003056 0.004586 0.008042 0.022831
2025-01-12 0.001341 0.001669 0.002142 0.002941 0.004451 0.007944 0.023980
2025-01-19 0.001305 0.001633 0.002112 0.002934 0.004533 0.008443 0.030139
2025-01-26 0.001230 0.001539 0.001988 0.002756 0.004244 0.007849 0.027206
2025-02-02 0.001210 0.001523 0.001983 0.002787 0.004395 0.008557 0.037548
2025-02-09 0.001196 0.001514 0.001990 0.002838 0.004598 0.009524 0.060500
2025-02-16 0.001166 0.001482 0.001958 0.002815 0.004632 0.009963 0.085357
2025-02-23 0.001155 0.001477 0.001969 0.002872 0.004860 0.011235 0.241514
2025-03-02 0.001131 0.001452 0.001944 0.002861 0.004923 0.011913 1.049645
2025-03-09 0.001101 0.001416 0.001902 0.002812 0.004886 0.012152 NaN
2025-03-16 0.001093 0.001414 0.001914 0.002870 0.005133 0.013916 NaN